Since ascending to power in 2018, Abiy Ahmed has initiated significant reforms aimed at unifying Ethiopia’s diverse political factions. By dissolving the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) and establishing the Prosperity Party, he sought to move away from ethnic-based politics towards a more centralized national identity.
This consolidation has effectively occupied the central political space, making it challenging for opposition parties to find distinct platforms. Moderate groups struggle to differentiate themselves, while more extreme factions risk veering into radicalism to gain attention.
Challenges for Opposition Parties
Opposition groups face a dilemma: aligning too closely with Abiy may render them redundant, while positioning themselves too far from his policies risks alienation or accusations of extremism. This predicament is exacerbated by the blurred lines between national unity and ethnic federalism, core issues in Ethiopia’s political discourse.
The article suggests that some factions, unable to establish a clear stance, may resort to fomenting unrest to undermine Abiy’s government, aiming to present themselves as alternatives capable of restoring order.
The Path Forward: Collaborative Democratization
Rather than seeking to outflank Abiy from the right or left, the article advocates for a collaborative approach to democratization. It emphasizes the importance of building robust, representative political institutions and fostering inclusive dialogue. By focusing on democratic consolidation and resisting the allure of radicalism, Ethiopia can navigate its complex political terrain towards a more stable and unified future.
